The situation is out of control in Syria these days. In the last one week, rebels have captured three big cities of the country. These include the cities of Aleppo, Homs and Daraa. Meanwhile, it is feared that President Bashar's family has left the country due to fear of rebels. Everyone has fled and taken refuge in Russia.
However, the Syrian government has denied reports of Assad fleeing the country. There is a possibility of civil war in the country due to Bashar's weakening grip and the rise of rebels. So far 3.70 lakh people have become victims of displacement.
Deraa is the same city from where the rebellion against President Bashar al-Assad began in 2011. The distance from Deraa to the capital Damascus is about 100 km. Local rebels have captured here. At the same time, Aleppo and Hama have been captured by the Islamic extremist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham.
Obama and Russia responsible for the situation: Trump America's newly elected President Donald Trump has blamed the policies of former President Barack Obama for the instability in Syria. He also blamed Russia for this. Trump said, this is not our fight. America should not get involved in this conflict. Syria is not America's friend.
Advisory issued for Indian citizens In view of the situation in Syria, the Indian Foreign Ministry has issued a travel advisory. India has advised Indian citizens living in Syria to leave the country immediately. Besides, Indians have also been prohibited from going to Syria. The Ministry of External Affairs said that Indians living in Syria should remain in touch with the Indian Embassy located in Damascus.
1. Battle for supremacy: Professor Mona Yacoubian of the US Institute of Peace says that this is a fight for supremacy in West Asia. Syria is geopolitically important. It is bordered by countries like Iraq, Turkey, Jordan, Lebanon and Israel. Control over Syria provides access to vital trade routes, energy corridors, and a base for exerting influence across the region.
2. Big impact on Russia: The rebellion will have a major impact on Russia. Syria is its most reliable partner in Western Asia. Also, since the rebellion against Bashar in 2011, Russia has been providing all kinds of military, economic and strategic help to Bashar. For this reason Russia wants Bashar to remain in power. Also the rebels have American support. In such a situation, if Bashar goes, it will be a big loss for Russia.
3. Oil may become expensive: The relations between India and Syria are historical. If the rebellion is not stopped, there will be a rise in the prices of crude oil. This will affect India. At the same time, recently both the countries are working together on power and solar plant projects. India had announced an assistance of $ 280 million for this in 2022. These projects will be affected if the rebellion increases. Bashar visited India in 2008.
The conflict between the army and rebel groups started in Syria on November 27. The conflict began in Syria on November 27 between the army and the Syrian rebel group Hayat Tahrir al Sham (HTS). After this, on December 1, rebels captured the northern city of Aleppo. Four days later, rebel groups also captured another big city, Hama.
Rebels have surrounded the capital Damascus from two directions after capturing the southern city of Daraa. There is a distance of only 90 km between Daraa and the capital Damascus.
Meanwhile, Iran has started evacuating its people from Syria. The Indian Ministry of External Affairs issued guidelines late on Friday night for people of Indian origin traveling to Syria and living there.
Rebel fighters waving the Syrian flag after capturing the city of Daraa.
During the capture of Hama city, the rebels also captured fighter jets of the Syrian government.
Rebel fighters with rocket launchers after the capture of Hama. In the background is a picture of President Assad whose face was hit by bullets.
Rebel group fighters celebrating victory after capturing the city of Hama.
HTS fighters heading towards Damascus city after capturing Hama city.
Iran left President Assad According to the New York Times, Iran has started evacuating its military commanders, people associated with the Revolutionary Guard, diplomatic staff and their families from Syria from Friday. The report quoted Iranian officials as saying that Iran is unable to support the Assad government as before.
The official said that special employees living in Damascus are being brought to Tehran by planes. While the rest are going to Latakia port by land route from where they will reach Iran.
Mehdi Rahmati, an expert on Iranian affairs, told the NYT that Iran has started evacuating its officers and security personnel because they feel that the Syrian army will not be able to fight the rebels.
Iranian Parliament member Ahmed Naderi has expressed his displeasure on social media. He said that Syria is on the verge of collapse and we are watching all this peacefully. If Damascus falls, Iran will lose its influence in Iraq and Lebanon. I don't understand why our government is silent on this. This is not good for our country.
Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi visited Damascus this week. During this time he had promised to protect Syria. However, on Friday he gave a different statement in Baghdad. He said- We cannot tell the future. Whatever Allah wishes will happen.
Assad is not getting full help even from Russia Russian President Putin had given military and political support to Assad, but in this crisis Russia has no intention of saving Assad. Initially the Russian Air Force fought against the rebels in Aleppo, but this help is becoming less. Meanwhile, the Russian Embassy in Damascus has advised its citizens to leave the country.
The Bloomberg report quoted the Kremlin as saying that Russia does not have a solution to the Syria crisis. Syrian President Assad has been dependent on Russia and Iran for many years to suppress the rebellion, but now the situation has changed.
Both Russia and Iran are entangled in their own problems. Experts say that for the first time Asad is alone. Russia has now stopped caring about President Assad.
HTS becomes Syria's largest organization HTS has previously been linked to al Qaeda. The Sunni group HTS is led by Abu Mohammad al-Julani. Julani has been a threat to Syria's Al-Assad government for the past several years.
According to reports, Al-Julani was born in 1982 in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. There his father was a petroleum engineer. In 1989, Julani's family returned to Syria and settled near Damascus.
Julani left his medical studies midway and joined Al-Qaeda after the American attack on Iraq in 2003. He was close to Abu Musab al-Zarqawi in Al Qaeda. After Zarqawi's assassination in 2006, Julani spent time in Lebanon and Iraq.
Very little information is available about Julani before joining Al Qaeda in 2003.
In 2006 itself, Julani was arrested by the US Army in Iraq. He was released after being in jail for 5 years. After this he joined the Islamic State. Julani came to Syria in 2011 amid protests against Assad. After this he formed Jabhat al-Nusra and waged war against the Assad government.
In 2017, Al-Nusra along with some other terrorist groups formed Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS). HTS is now the most powerful rebel group in Syria. Before capturing Aleppo and Hama, this organization captured Idlib. According to reports, there are 30 thousand fighters behind this organization. America had included this organization in the terrorist list in 2018.
Civil war started in Syria in 2011 The civil war in Syria started with the Arab Spring in 2011. The people of Syria started protests against the Bashar al-Assad government, which has been in power for 10 years. After this, a rebel group was formed by the name of 'Free Syrian Army'.
With the formation of the rebel group, the civil war in Syria started. This conflict increased further after America, Russia, Iran and Saudi Arabia joined it. Meanwhile, the terrorist organization ISIS had also spread its wings in Syria.
After the ceasefire agreement of 2020, only sporadic clashes have taken place here. According to the United Nations report, more than 3 lakh people were killed in the decade-long civil war. Apart from this, lakhs of people had to be displaced.
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Rebels captured Aleppo city in Syria in 4 days: Army fled, people ordered to stay in homes; 300 killed in Russian attack
Graphics Source: NavJivanIndia | VaskarAssets